Congressional Budget Office (CBO) Estimate of Revenues and Expenditures from Clean Energy and Security Act as of June 26, 2009
By CostBenefit on Jul 7, 2009 | In Energy, Climate Change GHG Carbon CO2, Government Report, U.S., Regulatory Analysis, Costs and Benefits | Send feedback »
Link: http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/103xx/doc10376/hr2998WaxmanLtr.pdf
Based on a review of H.R. 2998, the American Clean Energy and Security Act, as amended and reported by the House Committee on Rules on June 26, 2009, CBO and the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) estimate that enacting the legislation would increase revenues by $873 billion over the 2010-2019 period and would increase direct spending by $864 billion over that 10-year period. In total, CBO and JCT estimate that enacting the legislation would reduce future budget deficits by about $4 billion over the 2010-2014 period and by about $9 billion over the 2010-2019 period. CBO has not completed an estimate of the bill’s estimated impact on discretionary spending.
CBO has determined that the nontax provisions of H.R. 2998 contain intergovernmental and private-sector mandates as defined in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (UMRA). Several of those mandates would require utilities, manufacturers, and other entities to reduce greenhouse gas emissions through cap-and-trade programs. CBO estimates that the cost of mandates in the bill would well exceed the annual thresholds established in UMRA for intergovernmental and private-sector mandates (in 2009, $69 million and $139 million respectively, adjusted annually for inflation).
A more extensive analysis published on June 2009 is available at
This document notes H.R. 2454 would make a number of changes in energy and environmental policies largely aimed at reducing emissions of gases that contribute to global warming. The bill would limit or cap the quantity of certain greenhouse gases (GHGs) emitted from facilities that generate electricity and from other industrial activities over the 2012-2050 period. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) would establish two separate regulatory initiatives known as cap-and-trade programs—one covering emissions of most types of GHGs and one covering hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs). EPA would issue allowances to emit those gases under the cap-and-trade programs. Some of those allowances would be auctioned by the federal government, and the remainder would be distributed at no charge.
Other major provisions of the legislation would:
Provide energy tax credits or energy rebates to certain low-income families to offset the impact of higher energy-related prices from the cap-and-trade programs;
Require certain retail electricity suppliers to satisfy a minimum percentage of their electricity sales with electricity generated by facilities that use qualifying renewable fuels or energy sources;
Establish a Carbon Storage Research Corporation to support research and development of technologies related to carbon capture and sequestration;
Increase, by $25 billion, the aggregate amount of loans DOE is authorized to make to automobile manufacturers and component suppliers under the existing Advanced Technology Vehicle Manufacturing Loan Program;
Establish a Clean Energy Deployment Administration (CEDA) within the Department of Energy (DOE), which would be authorized to provide direct loans, loan guarantees, and letters of credit for clean energy projects;
Authorize the Department of Transportation (DOT) to provide individuals with vouchers to acquire new vehicles that achieve greater fuel efficiency than the existing qualifying vehicles owned by the individuals; and
Authorize appropriations for various programs under EPA, DOE, and other agencies.
Letter to Henry A. Waxman, Chairman, Committee on Energy and Commerce, U.S. House of Representatives signed by Douglas W. Elmendorf, Director
U.S. Congressional Budget Office (CBO) www.CBO.gov
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